Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000769 0.000878 0.000994 0.001125 0.001269 0.001423 0.001598
2024-12-29 0.000588 0.000737 0.000906 0.001110 0.001348 0.001616 0.001939
2025-01-05 0.000499 0.000666 0.000863 0.001112 0.001414 0.001765 0.002200
2025-01-12 0.000423 0.000598 0.000815 0.001098 0.001453 0.001878 0.002419
2025-01-19 0.000361 0.000539 0.000768 0.001077 0.001476 0.001966 0.002604
2025-01-26 0.000328 0.000513 0.000759 0.001100 0.001552 0.002118 0.002869
2025-02-02 0.000298 0.000488 0.000748 0.001119 0.001619 0.002259 0.003122
2025-02-09 0.000261 0.000448 0.000713 0.001100 0.001636 0.002333 0.003289
2025-02-16 0.000228 0.000410 0.000677 0.001078 0.001644 0.002394 0.003439
2025-02-23 0.000209 0.000392 0.000668 0.001091 0.001699 0.002517 0.003671
2025-03-02 0.000191 0.000373 0.000655 0.001098 0.001745 0.002629 0.003891
2025-03-09 0.000166 0.000341 0.000620 0.001068 0.001738 0.002665 0.004007
2025-03-16 0.000144 0.000310 0.000585 0.001038 0.001728 0.002699 0.004123
2025-03-23 0.000129 0.000292 0.000569 0.001035 0.001757 0.002788 0.004317
2025-03-30 0.000117 0.000276 0.000555 0.001034 0.001789 0.002880 0.004516
2025-04-06 0.000104 0.000258 0.000534 0.001021 0.001802 0.002945 0.004678
2025-04-13 0.000091 0.000238 0.000511 0.001001 0.001802 0.002991 0.004811
2025-04-20 0.000086 0.000233 0.000512 0.001023 0.001868 0.003134 0.005087
2025-04-27 0.000080 0.000226 0.000511 0.001041 0.001926 0.003267 0.005351
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.000210 0.000491 0.001023 0.001928 0.003315 0.005491
2025-05-11 0.000062 0.000195 0.000469 0.001002 0.001923 0.003350 0.005613
2025-05-18 0.000058 0.000188 0.000466 0.001014 0.001972 0.003470 0.005861
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.000181 0.000461 0.001021 0.002012 0.003577 0.006091